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Hey would you be open to sharing the document where you have compiled all the scores that have been posted? (view only just so we can see)
The percentiles in the UK haven't changed much throughout the entire existence of UKCAT so I don't imagine it'd fluctuate too far from last year's stats too
hahahah i think UKCAT started so many years ago in the UK, is the data even available!It would be interesting to know the stats difference (if one existed at all) between year 1 of UKCAT and year 2 (as would parallel where we are up to with UCAT). Only because year 1 = everyone doing the exam for the first time (maybe with the odd exception of a few who’d done UKCAT previously), compared to year 2 where X% of test takers are repeaters.
not just half.. most of us would cease to even existbruh if the 90th percentile this year is gonna be 3000+ then idek what half of us on this forum are gonna do
Yep, I discussed this in chat box the other day with ucatboy. My prediction is that the curves will shift upwards this year, probably more significantly than it ever will in future years, and then the curve will stabilise after that.It would be interesting to know the stats difference (if one existed at all) between year 1 of UKCAT and year 2 (as would parallel where we are up to with UCAT). Only because year 1 = everyone doing the exam for the first time (maybe with the odd exception of a few who’d done UKCAT previously), compared to year 2 where X% of test takers are repeaters.
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The mean is only about 10 points higher this year,
Data goes back as far as 2008, as can be seen here: Technical Reports | UCAT Consortiumhahahah i think UKCAT started so many years ago in the UK, is the data even available!
I'll upload the data once the testing period is over. I considered doing a Google Spreadsheet so that you guys can see the numbers update in real time, but unfortunately it's got nowhere near the graphing and formula capabilities. Sorry about thatHey would you be open to sharing the document where you have compiled all the scores that have been posted? (view only just so we can see)
hm. I don't know. I just have this gut feeling that although the MSO average has increased by more than 100, the actual UCAT average will have increased by only 20-30 points. (Or maybe I'm biased and really want my 2940 to be above 90th percentile). xDDid you compare the current against ucatboy 's previous post (which was data up to last week)?
Last year's MSO average was 2860, currently it's 2984.
Based off the statistics on this forum, most repeaters seem to perform significantly better in their second attempt. If that was true, I would expect the cut-offs for meds schools that accept non-standard applicants (JMP, WSU and to a less extent UNSW and Adelaide) to increase by a even greater margin this year compared to the change in the cut-off required for 90th percentile.It would be interesting to know the stats difference (if one existed at all) between year 1 of UKCAT and year 2 (as would parallel where we are up to with UCAT). Only because year 1 = everyone doing the exam for the first time (maybe with the odd exception of a few who’d done UKCAT previously), compared to year 2 where X% of test takers are repeaters.
Year | Total Mean | SD | 9th Decile | No. of Sitters |
2006 | 2375 | 269 | - | 18540 |
2007 | 2401 | 263 | - | 20167 |
2008 | 2430 | 275 | - | 20512 |
2009 | 2505 | 220 | - | 23721 |
2010 | 2489 | 258 | - | 25257 |
2011 | 2476 | 263 | 2790-2800 | 24951 |
2012 | 2516 | 280 | 2850 | 25431 |
2013 | 2643 | 317 | 3030 | 25679 |
2014 | 2505 | 252 | 2820 | 23884 |
2015 | 2530 | 253 | 2840 | 23565 |
2016 | 1892 | 202 | 2150 | 23359 |
2017 | 2541 | 250 | 2860 | 24841 |
2018 | 2485 | 256 | 2810 | 27469 |
2019 | 2483 | 249 | 2800 | 29366 |
Excellent find! Using the mean and standard deviation provided, we can pretty accurately extrapolate the 9th decile for 2006-2010. They are:So it seems I found the annual reports for UKCAT 2006 and 2007. The mean score in 2006 (the first year of the test) was 2375, and in 2007 was 2401.
Year Total Mean SD 9th Decile No. of Sitters 2006 2375 269 - 18540 2007 2401 263 - 20167 2008 2430 275 - 20512 2009 2505 220 - 23721 2010 2489 258 - 25257 2011 2476 263 2790-2800 24951 2012 2516 280 2850 25431 2013 2643 317 3030 25679 2014 2505 252 2820 23884 2015 2530 253 2840 23565 2016 1892 202 2150 23359 2017 2541 250 2860 24841 2018 2485 256 2810 27469 2019 2483 249 2800 29366Notes:
UKCAT used a subtest called Decision Analysis until 2015.
There were only 3 subtests in 2016 so the maximum score you can achieve was 2700.
Decision Making subtest was introduced in 2017.
In 2013, the mean for Decision Analysis was 771 ( in 2012 it was 647 and in 2014 it 614). UKCAT notes that the shift in mean was mostly due to Decision Analysis.
This is just a quick look at the data from UKCAT. I didn't look much into factors that could have influenced the scores of a year. Finding the 9th decile score for 2010 and prior was not a success, but if I end up finding it, I'll edit them in.
I also found this interesting data from the 2008 annual report (that was not discussed in the 2007 report).
View attachment 3833
Based off the statistics on this forum, most repeaters seem to perform significantly better in their second attempt. If that was true, I would expect the cut-offs for non-standard entries (JMP, WSU and to a less extent UNSW and Adelaide) to increase by a even greater margin this year compared to the change in the cut-off required for 90th percentile.
Amazing. Now can you do us a favour and research the weighting of UCAT in the selection criteria of the UK medical schools in 2006-2007So it seems I found the annual reports for UKCAT 2006 and 2007. The mean score in 2006 (the first year of the test) was 2375, and in 2007 was 2401.
Year Total Mean SD 9th Decile No. of Sitters 2006 2375 269 - 18540 2007 2401 263 - 20167 2008 2430 275 - 20512 2009 2505 220 - 23721 2010 2489 258 - 25257 2011 2476 263 2790-2800 24951 2012 2516 280 2850 25431 2013 2643 317 3030 25679 2014 2505 252 2820 23884 2015 2530 253 2840 23565 2016 1892 202 2150 23359 2017 2541 250 2860 24841 2018 2485 256 2810 27469 2019 2483 249 2800 29366Notes:
UKCAT used a subtest called Decision Analysis until 2015.
There were only 3 subtests in 2016 so the maximum score you can achieve was 2700.
Decision Making subtest was introduced in 2017.
In 2013, the mean for Decision Analysis was 771 ( in 2012 it was 647 and in 2014 it 614). UKCAT notes that the shift in mean was mostly due to Decision Analysis.
This is just a quick look at the data from UKCAT. I didn't look much into factors that could have influenced the scores of a year. Finding the 9th decile score for 2010 and prior was not a success, but if I end up finding it, I'll edit them in.
I also found this interesting data from the 2008 annual report (that was not discussed in the 2007 report).
View attachment 3833
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Sorry, what I meant was med schools that accept non-standard applicants. I’ll edit it.None of WSU, UNSW, or JMP put non-standard applicants in a pool seperate to school leavers. There is no ‘non-standard cut-off’.
Sorry, what I meant was med schools that accept non-standard applicants.
It is possible that that the percentile cut-offs for med schools that accept non-standards will go up a bit while the cut-offs for other med schools slightly go down.In the overall scheme one UCAT repeater scoring a high percentile pushes a non-repeater down the percentile ladder. The 90%ile score this year could be higher, but *all else being equal* there should be no significant change to the invite cutoff percentile. Any change from the repeat factor would be proportionally more non-standards (who repeated UCAT).
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