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If the majority of those still to sit UCAT are NSW and NSW students do better, we'll see the official/final 90%ile approaching 3000. We don't want to see that do we haha.
this probs is true if i had sat my test the og date i had set there was no way i was gonna crack the 3000 barrier, also with trials getting cencelled/postponed it also helped
The prelim & final stats are issued in pdf reports. The third one was from the UCAT online calculator which initially matched the final report but for reasons I don't understand dropped 10pts a few months later.
So clever to produce this - thanks for taking the time to do it for everyone.
A correction on my part, the 2019 90%ile UCAT stats did change between 2850 & 2830 but didn't go in that sequence. As seen in this post from dotwingz > Post-UCAT Discussion 2020
idk if im just reading this wrong but why would an annotation for technical issues reduce your percentile from 98 to 97%!Mod Note: Answered
Hi,
Applying for: (Medicine)
Application Type: (School leaver)
Predicted ATAR: 99.90/99.95 predicted (fingers crossed!)
UCAT Percentile Rank: Borderline 98% - likely 97% with the slight positive skew + annotation for technical issues (3mins lost)
VR: 760
DM: 840
QR: 880
AR: 720
Total: 3200
SJ: 636 (or something like that)
Current State: WA
Applying to: Group of 8
Rural Applicant: (no)
GWS Applicant: (no)
Indigenous Applicant: (no)
Other: (none)
Q1: What are my chances of landing Monash interstate with a 99.9? Or UNSW? I know my scores are relatively high, but how important is the interview for these competitive interstate positions? I assume the annotation isn't going to mean anything ultimately...
Q2: Asking for a friend - with a 3070 UCAT (95%) and 99.85/99.9 predicted, how competitive is he for UNSW and Monash?
Note: Thanks LMG for taking the time to write this out for everybody, and I hope you enjoyed your dinner!
The technical issue is a separate matter. The 98 --> 97 is based on what happened between prelim stats and final stats last year (a slight adjustment in percentiles).
It goes on after the conversion but from what I have read most unis don’t allow adjustments for medicine. UQ is one Uni that does, though.
Ah alright, thanks a bunch mate. UQ is my top choice, so I've just gotta hope that all goes well when I apply!
As LMG said, the annotations are separate due to technical issues. Usually at the top end of the UCAT spectrum, the data isn't described as well by the normal distribution and the spread is slightly higher; hence, my borderline 98% is likely going to go down a little bit.
Do you happen to know how many people are yet to sit the exam in NSW? Praying the percentiles don't go up even more...
Well, according to last year's statistics, 14092 people sat the UCAT, almost 3000 most than the number of people who have done it this year (mind you it was only from July 1st to August 11th, so more people would have done it since that date). However, I have a feeling that it won't be as much as last year, possibly due to the lockdown restrictions.
Right, I see... it just feels strange that approximately 3000 students, who would be predominantly NSW, all haven't sat their UCAT yet... here's to hoping
Just adding that 2019 statistics were a total mess because the "interim statistics" weren't really interim at all since everyone had completed their test by the time they'd came out. I'm not sure how Pearson managed to arrive at different scores for 90th percentile at different points in time when the data was already set in stone, although I think 2840 was the de-facto 90th percentile which unis like JMP and UNSW adopted as their cutoff.