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Post UCAT Discussion Thread 2021

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A1 said:
2020 MSO average was 120 higher than 2019 MSO average, turned out 2020 real percentile scores were ~100pts higher than 2019 scores. So there was an unscientific correlation
Click to expand...

ucatboy see what I told ya !!

2019 MSO average 2860 , actual 90%ile 2830
2020 MSO average 2980 (up 120) , actual 90%ile 2930 (up 100)
2021 MSO average 2999 (up 19) , prelim 90%ile 2960 (up 30)

And you didn't believe me there was a correlation :p
 
Omg...the percentile increased again...

Also, did the percentiles change much from prelim to actual stats last year (if at all)?
 
A1 said:
ucatboy see what I told ya !!

2019 MSO average 2860 , actual 90%ile 2830
2020 MSO average 2980 (+120) , actual 90%ile 2930 (+100)
2021 MSO average 2999 (+19) , prelim 90%ile 2960 (+30)

And you didn't believe me there was a correlation :p
Click to expand...
Hey A1, not sure if I've got something confused but I thought last years actual 90th was 2920 and 2019s was 2850? At least thats what it says for the official stats. I know its not that big of a difference but I'm trying to figure out the correlation between WSU's threshold increase and the increase in 90th percentile
 
JeydinNewWon said:
Also, did the percentiles change much from prelim to actual stats last year (if at all)?
Click to expand...
It did, by 10-20pts. Prelim 2020 first showed 90%ile = 2940, official later = 2930, then later dropped again to 2920.
Similarly 2019 was 2850 then 2840 then 2830.
 
2021 Percentile Calculator
Welcome back to another round of percentile calculating everyone...
I hope you all did as well as you wished.

Just as a disclaimer this is only a guide, nothings official but its basically the best extrapolation you can get, If anyone wants to double check my working here it is
[MedStudentsOnline.com.au] Post UCAT Discussion Thread 2021
 
Last edited:
Hm. Looking at the stats it seems there wasn't any significant change from <50th percentile. However, as we look at the 60th percentile and above, there were small increases in values (+10) for 60th, (+20) for 70th, (+30) for 80th, with the largest being a (+40) change for the 90th percentile.

I'm no stats expert, so I'm wondering why this would be the case? Why does it increase on the higher end but remain unchanged for the lower end?
 
The stats also don't consider anyone from after 11/08 so could be a good amount of people who aren't considered, at least much more than last year. Last year around 14k people sat it and current prelim stats have recorded around 11k tests.
 
I mean they say "we do not expect final figures to differ much from those presented here", based on that I wouldnt expect the final figures to differ that much :P
 
JeydinNewWon said:
Hm. Looking at the stats it seems there wasn't any significant change from <50th percentile. However, as we look at the 60th percentile and above, there were small increases in values (+10) for 60th, (+20) for 70th, (+30) for 80th, with the largest being a (+40) change for the 90th percentile.

I'm no stats expert, so I'm wondering why this would be the case? Why does it increase on the higher end but remain unchanged for the lower end?
Click to expand...
You're looking at a "spreading out" of scores, as in people's performances have varied more this year. The average is similar but there were more extremely high and low scores.
 
dotwingz said:
I mean they say "we do not expect final figures to differ much from those presented here", based on that I wouldnt expect the final figures to differ that much :p
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I mean, with all the COVID stuff obviously, they are not factoring in quite a sizeable portion of the UCAT cohort. Assuming 3k people left (to have a grand total of 14k), that's around 20% of the entire cohort's marks being ignored from the calculation.
 
JeydinNewWon said:
I mean, with all the COVID stuff obviously, they are forgetting to factor in quite a sizeable portion of the UCAT cohort. Assuming 3k people left (to have a grand total of 14k), that's around 20% of the entire cohort's marks being ignored from the calculation.
Click to expand...
Yeah but it's unlikely that the remaining 3k sitters perform drastically differently to the other 11k, although now that you mention it, I assume the majority are NSWers and they generally tend to be more academically inclined so if anything...

bruh
 
I’d like to see a state by state UCAT score breakdown tbh! I think it would be interesting
 
Or humble them ... Im not convinced New South Welshmen and Women are as greater than everyone than they think... above average sure but alot of the sentiment on here is that the performance of these students are are orders of magnitudes greater than anyone else
 

UCAT Results Discussion 2021

Note: If applying to WSU, please include your calculation using the provided formula if you want a prediction there. If you have something other than an ATAR e.g. IB score, please provide the ATAR conversion. UCAT Percentile Rank Calculator: UCAT v1 Recommended Template Applying for: (Medicine...
medstudentsonline.com.au
 
LMG! said:

UCAT Results Discussion 2021

Note: If applying to WSU, please include your calculation using the provided formula if you want a prediction there. If you have something other than an ATAR e.g. IB score, please provide the ATAR conversion. UCAT Percentile Rank Calculator: UCAT v1 Recommended Template Applying for: (Medicine...
medstudentsonline.com.au
Click to expand...
Y'all already have a results thread and I'm still waiting to do my exam...I'm so anxious because of all this COVID stuff and with the percentiles increasing, I guess it's making me feel more nervous. I just really wanted to get this over and done with and move on and just relax...

naian616 said:
goodbye med, it was nice knowing you (never knew it in the first place lol)
Click to expand...
Haha. But if you work on your Year 12 results, you can still make it to Griffith, USYD and Flinders!
 
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